FAPESP project - Grant number: 18/14423-4
Decennial modeling of gross carbon emissions from forest fires in the Amazon
The project
Fires in tropical forests can be considered one of the most important problems of the 21st century. In the world's largest rainforest, the Amazon, the frequency of wildfires has increased over the past decade as a result of climate variability (drought in 1998, 2005, and 2010) and human activity (Aragon and Shimabukuro 2010, Science). During the 2010 drought, 0.48±0.18 Petagrams of Carbon per year (PgCyr1) were released into the atmosphere due to fires (eg Gatti et al. 2014, Nature). However, one question remains unanswered: What are the main sources of emissions from the fire? And whether these emissions are the result of fires from fast-growing pastures, with less impact on atmospheric CO2 accumulation, or they are the result of fires from forest vegetation with low turnover (mortality of individuals), with potentially greater impact on CO2 accumulation atmospheric? It is well known that fires in the Amazon can spread to areas of intact forests, causing wildfires and possibly contributing significantly to emissions from land use and land cover changes. Despite being an important component of the global carbon balance, the magnitude of the impact of forest fires on the long-term stability of carbon stocks is still poorly quantified. In this PD proposal, the researcher will use and refine the first systematic model to quantify gross annual carbon emissions from forest fires in the context of the Amazon Forest, from a bottom-up approach. The model called Transient Emissions Associated with Fire in the Amazon (FATE), developed by a multidisciplinary team of researchers and coordinated by Dr. Aragon at the National Institute for Space Research (INPE), was recently applied by Anderson et al. (2015). The model consists of a strictly spatial recording approach based on remote sensing data, for the extraction of biomass, a burned area, land use, and land cover classes, and an empirical loss of biomass due to the burning of these classes. This model makes it possible to distinguish the sources of carbon release due to fires from each land use and land cover class. These estimates will be supported by a comprehensive interpretation of the theme and by cross-validation of analyzes of atmospheric data in the context of the carbon cycle in the Amazon Forest.
Postdoc
Dr Henrique Luis Godinho Cassol
Peer-reviewed scientific articles
2021
- MATAVELI, GUILHERME A. V.; DE OLIVEIRA, GABRIEL; SEIXAS, HUGO T.; PEREIRA, GABRIEL; STARK, SCOTT C.; GATTI, LUCIANA V.; BASSO, LUANA S.; TEJADA, GRACIELA; CASSOL, HENRIQUE L. G.; ANDERSON, LIANA O.; et al. Relationship between Biomass Burning Emissions and Deforestation in Amazonia over the Last Two Decades. FORESTS, v. 12, n. 9, SEP 2021. (20/02656-4, 18/14006-4, 16/02018-2, 18/18493-7, 20/08916-8, 19/25701-8, 18/14423-4, 19/23654-2)
- HEINRICH, VIOLA H. A.; DALAGNOL, RICARDO; CASSOL, HENRIQUE L. G.; ROSAN, THAIS M.; DE ALMEIDA, CATHERINE TORRES; SILVA JUNIOR, CELSO H. L.; CAMPANHARO, WESLEY A.; HOUSE, JOANNA I.; SITCH, STEPHEN; HALES, TRISTRAM C.; et al. Large carbon sink potential of secondary forests in the Brazilian Amazon to mitigate climate change. NATURE COMMUNICATIONS, v. 12, n. 1, MAR 19 2021. (19/21662-8, 18/14423-4, 18/15001-6, 16/02018-2, 19/05440-5)
- GODINHO CASSOL, HENRIQUE LUIS; CRUZ DE ARAGAO, LUIZ EDUARDO; MORAES, ELISABETE CARIA; DE BRITO CARREIRAS, JOAO MANUEL; SHIMABUKURO, YOSIO EDEMIR. Quad-pol Advanced Land Observing Satellite / Phased Array L-band Synthetic Aperture Radar-2 (ALOS/PALSAR-2) data for modelling secondary forest above-ground biomass in the central Brazilian Amazon. International Journal of Remote Sensing, v. 42, n. 13, p. 4989-5013, JUL 3 2021. (18/14423-4)
- BASSO, LUANA S.; MARANI, LUCIANO; GATTI, V, LUCIANA; MILLER, JOHN B.; GLOOR, MANUEL; MELACK, JOHN; CASSOL, HENRIQUE L. G.; TEJADA, GRACIELA; DOMINGUES, LUCAS G.; ARAI, EGIDIO; et al. Amazon methane budget derived from multi-year airborne observations highlights regional variations in emissions. COMMUNICATIONS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT, v. 2, n. 1, NOV 29 2021. (08/58120-3, 20/02656-4, 18/14423-4, 11/51841-0, 19/23654-2, 18/14006-4, 16/02018-2, 19/21789-8, 11/17914-0, 18/18493-7)
- SILVA JUNIOR, CELSO H. L.; CARVALHO, NATHALIA S.; PESSOA, ANA C. M.; REIS, JOAO B. C.; PONTES-LOPES, ALINE; DOBLAS, JUAN; HEINRICH, VIOLA; CAMPANHARO, WESLEY; ALENCAR, ANE; SILVA, CAMILA; et al. Amazonian forest degradation must be incorporated into the COP26 agenda. NATURE GEOSCIENCE, v. 14, n. 9, p. 634-635, SEP 2021. (19/05440-5, 16/21043-8, 16/02018-2, 15/02537-7, 18/14423-4)
- PONTES-LOPES, ALINE; SILVA, CAMILA V. J.; BARLOW, JOS; RINCON, LORENA M.; CAMPANHARO, WESLEY A.; NUNES, CASSIO A.; DE ALMEIDA, CATHERINE T.; SILVA JUNIOR, CELSO H. L.; CASSOL, HENRIQUE L. G.; DALAGNOL, RICARDO; et al. Drought-driven wildfire impacts on structure and dynamics in a wet Central Amazonian forest. PROCEEDINGS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY B-BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES, v. 288, n. 1951, MAY 26 2021. (16/21043-8, 19/21662-8, 18/14423-4, 20/06734-0)
- COVEY, KRISTOFER; SOPER, FIONA; PANGALA, SUNITHA; BERNARDINO, ANGELO; PAGLIARO, ZOE; BASSO, LUANA; CASSOL, HENRIQUE; FEARNSIDE, PHILIP; NAVARRETE, DIEGO; NOVOA, SIDNEY; et al. Carbon and Beyond: The Biogeochemistry of Climate in a Rapidly Changing Amazon. FRONTIERS IN FORESTS AND GLOBAL CHANGE, v. 4, MAR 11 2021. (18/14006-4, 18/14423-4)
- ARAI, EGIDIO; SANO, EDSON EYJI; DUTRA, ANDEISE CERQUEIRA; GODINHO CASSOL, HENRIQUE LUIS; HOFFMANN, TANIA BEATRIZ; SHIMABUKURO, YOSIO EDEMIR. Vegetation Fraction Images Derived from PROBA-V Data for Rapid Assessment of Annual Croplands in Brazil. REMOTE SENSING, v. 12, n. 7, APR 2020. (18/14423-4)
- CASSOL, HENRIQUE L. G.; DOMINGUES, LUCAS G.; SANCHEZ, ALBER H.; BASSO, LUANA S.; MARANI, LUCIANO; TEJADA, GRACIELA; ARAI, EGIDIO; CORREIA, CAIO; ALDEN, CAROLINE B.; MILLER, JOHN B.; et al. Determination of Region of Influence Obtained by Aircraft Vertical Profiles Using the Density of Trajectories from the HYSPLIT Model. ATMOSPHERE, v. 11, n. 10, OCT 2020. (16/02018-2, 18/14006-4, 18/14423-4, 18/18493-7)
- DOMINGUES, LUCAS GATTI; GATTI, LUCIANA VANNI; AQUINO, AFONSO; SANCHEZ, ALBER; CORREIA, CAIO; GLOOR, MANUEL; PETERS, WOUTER; MILLER, JOHN; TURNBULL, JOCELYN; SANTANA, RICARDO; et al. A New Background Method for Greenhouse Gases Flux Calculation Based in Back-Trajectories Over the Amazon. ATMOSPHERE, v. 11, n. 7, JUL 2020. (18/14423-4, 16/02018-2)
- SHIMABUKURO, YOSIO EDEMIR; ARAI, EGIDIO; DUARTE, VALDETE; DUTRA, ANDEISE CERQUEIRA; GODINHO CASSOL, HENRIQUE LUIS; SANO, EDSON EYJI; HOFFMANN, TANIA BEATRIZ. Discriminating Land Use and Land Cover Classes in Brazil Based on the Annual PROBA-V 100 m Time Series. IEEE JOURNAL OF SELECTED TOPICS IN APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATIONS AND REMOTE SENSING, v. 13, p. 3409-3420, 2020. (16/19806-3, 18/14423-4)
- GODINHO CASSOL, HENRIQUE LUIS; ARAI, EGIDIO; EYJI SANO, EDSON; DUTRA, ANDEISE CERQUEIRA; HOFFMANN, TANIA BEATRIZ; SHIMABUKURO, YOSIO EDEMIR. Maximum Fraction Images Derived from Year-Based Project for On-Board Autonomy-Vegetation (PROBA-V) Data for the Rapid Assessment of Land Use and Land Cover Areas in Mato Grosso State, Brazil. LAND, v. 9, n. 5, MAY 2020. (16/19806-3, 18/14423-4)
- SHIMABUKURO, YOSIO EDEMIR; DUTRA, ANDEISE CERQUEIRA; ARAI, EGIDIO; DUARTE, VALDETE; GODINHO CASSOL, HENRIQUE LUIS; PEREIRA, GABRIEL; CARDOZO, FRANCIELLE DA SILVA. Mapping Burned Areas of Mato Grosso State Brazilian Amazon Using Multisensor Datasets. REMOTE SENSING, v. 12, n. 22, NOV 2020. (18/14423-4)
- GODINHO CASSOL, HENRIQUE LUIS; DE BRITO CARREIRAS, JOAO MANUEL; MORAES, ELISABETE CARIA; OLIVEIRA E CRUZ DE ARAGAO, LUIZ EDUARDO; DE JESUS SILVA, CAMILA VALERIA; QUEGAN, SHAUN; SHIMABUKURO, YOSIO EDEMIR. Retrieving Secondary Forest Aboveground Biomass from Polarimetric ALOS-2 PALSAR-2 Data in the Brazilian Amazon. REMOTE SENSING, v. 11, n. 1, JAN 1 2019. (18/14423-4)